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MEXICO: PLENTY OF ROOM FOR RATES TO GO LOWER

Post Date: 22 January 2024

Banxico can cut rates as soon as it's comfortable, and we think there's plenty of room. We identify a clear path to sub-7% through 2024/25, with the only constraint being a lack willingness to kick things off. Once this gets going – even though there's a lot priced in – we identify room for a 180bp convergence to the US in the 2yr and 80bp in the 10yr. It could be more


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